Monday, December 22, 2014

The Next Collapsed Culture = Ours?

The Real Indiana Jones thinks we may be the next of many failed civilizations.

Arthur Demerest, an anthropology professor at Vanderbilt University, says the Golden Age often precedes a fall:
On the future of the U.S., or of Western civilization in general, I tend to be quite pessimistic. Perhaps that is simply because “collapse” is what I do. As an archaeologist, I have excavated single trenches, just a few meters deep, in which you can see stratigraphic levels of several civilizations. We find layers of artifacts and evidence indicating periods of great prosperity, but always separated by levels of burned earth, ash and artifacts that reflect the epochs of social disintegration, chaos and tragedy that seem to conclude the achievements and aspirations of every society.
The answer?
The answers and specific policies will only begin to emerge after voters and workers, as well as politicians and CEOs, lower their expectations a bit for prosperous societies to a somewhat lower level of growth (and opulence). As voters and stockholders, we need to expect less of our leaders and we need to begin thinking in terms of longer periods, and slower processes, for judging success.
As far as I'm concerned, we need to start with smaller families, or no families at all.  In other words, religion has to go!  The bullies of the world's religions have to embrace birth control and stop trying to win out by overpopulation.  The Jews have replaced the Holocaust victims by now.  The Quiverfull Christians have only been partially successful in convincing women to be brood mares for Christ.  Muslims number over a billion and constitute a majority in 49 countries.  Isn't that enough?

So the first lowered expectation:  family size.

The second lowered expectation:  religious hegemony.

The third lowered expectation will take care of itself after those are satisfied.

4 comments:

L.Long said...

LOLFD!!!!!!!
This will NEVER happen.
Asimov in a number of articles pointed this out 40yrs ago, along with other SciFi writers See anything happening??? Not only NO But HELL NO.
Heinlein predicted the conquest of this country by religious Aholes, see that happening??? You bet and they are trying harder then ever.
The religious ALWAYS think they are right and WE are full of schite!!! We are preparing for the fall, but even better would be the scifi fix...space flight is good and we can leave!!! I'm one of those who always wanted a space flight and not a strong military so that we could get away from all these aholes.

Infidel753 said...

As far as I'm concerned, we need to start with smaller families, or no families at all. In other words, religion has to go! The bullies of the world's religions have to embrace birth control and stop trying to win out by overpopulation.

Birth rates are already below replacement level almost everywhere in the world outside sub-Saharan Africa. The population is still growing because higher birth rates in earlier decades mean that a disproportionate share of population is now in early adulthood (prime child-producing years), but that effect won't last beyond one more generation.

Religion hasn't changed, but more and more people are ignoring it on this issue, even in Muslim countries.

Infidel753 said...

but even better would be the scifi fix...space flight is good and we can leave!!!

The fantasy of survival via space colonies is an irrelevant distraction.

L.Long said...

I know that Infidel but I would still like it better than trying to live thru the break down as theocracy and ignorance (remember the 90%) gets even more control.
I know the polls show only 85% are deluded bigots but there are probably another 5 to 10% that will fold under pressure.